Well, no one can argue the numbers in Japan currently. Those are facts! Other facts are that this console is only availible in one region. I think the Vita will do a lot better in the states and UK, but who knows?
The 3DS was doomed in the first six months(or so everyone said), and now it is doing fine. The PSP is dead everywhere, but in Japan it has been the number one system for I believe about the last 2 years. Anything can happen at anytime.
Is handheld gaming changing, dying, and evolving? Sure it is! That is another current fact of life. So many people in the world want a one-in-all device. That is why Apple does so well with the iphone and ipads. The original PSP tried to tap into this market, but personally I found it doomed from the start. Yeah it could play music and movies, but it was huge. I personally like my phone to be a phone, My music player to be a player, my game system to be a game system, but that's just me I guess? The only thing it was good for was games, and once priacy started, Some felt it damaged sales.
I personally don't believe that theory, as the DS was way more easy to pirate games, and that system became the best selling of all time. In this day and age, I think all gaming machines BIG and small need good software to move sales. The 3DS picked up once Mario came to the show, and I think Sony will do better when they release killer games in the proper regions. Uncharted is a killer franchise, but it is a western game. I would never expect it to move sales in Japan. Everybody's golf is the number one selling game over there.
That is no suprise, as it has always sold best in Japan. It is a nitch game everywhere else. Even though Japan loves it, I would never expect it to move systems over there either. If Monster Hunters was released tomorow, Vita would dominate.
Another reason sales are down, is that many are on the fence, and waiting for a new model and price drop. Sony changed the PSP many times, and releases new systems all the time. I have always found this to be stupidity, especially at launch. Microsoft released 2 or 3 differant Xboxes, Ps3 had 2 at launch, The Vita has 2 differant ones, ect. What always happens to these extra systems? They confuse the market, and normally get discontinued very quickly.
Nintendo has never released more than one system at launch, and I doubt they ever will. It gives choices, but devides user base, and it just doesn't make sense. After The 3DS, I think many are waiting to see what happens, and if a better deal can be had 3-6 months from now. I'm getting my Vita day one, but I only plan to get one game(and one download title), and then it will be collecting dust until other games arrives, but I don't have a problem with that. This is how I have played games for 20+ years.
Chris