"Of course, I've done these calculations several times before, and it never works out."
Ain't that the truth.
@bananajamslam
I don't anticipate the cases coming in this week, so more than likely we won't see a green light at best until next week. If they can produce the full kit and kaboodle before Chinese New Year, there may be a slim chance you'd get it before you went to Japan. If they produce the cases after Chinese New Year, then it's probably safer to say we will be well into April before they start shipping.
So best case scenario - yes
second best case scenario - maybe
anything else - don't count on it.
Edit: Like WizardStan said, if we miss Chinese New Year, we forfeit February. And than you can take all of what WizardStan said from (Feb 5th) but replace it with the following month.
Sorry if this disappoints. I'd rather expect the worst and hope for the best. I, myself, wanted the Pandora for PAX East ~March 25th.