I think there were some people from Australia here... Is anyone from Exmouth/Cape Range/Coral Bay ? If so take a strong umbrella in about 9 hours and a half
, there may rain a spaceship.
Edit:This
other forecast says Kazakhstan/Turkmenistan, closer (Mm) to Baikonur where it launched from, over 53 years ago. Around Garabogaz - Aktau. at 6:12 GMT. Problem with this prediction is it puts the window center in continental mass, so any small deviations (+/- 10 minutes) could land it over very populated areas (India, Pakistan, Afganistan, Russia, Ukraine, Poland, Germany, Nederlands, England... Let's hope it hits the water... Not sure which forecast is better or more recent. I guess it's just uncertain, but we should know pretty soon.
Edit2: The ESA forecast just added an update, basically saying they give up forecast because it should be over.
Status 10 May 08:35 CEST
The descent craft was seen by radar systems over Germany at approximately 04:30 UTC and 06:04 UTC, corresponding to 06:30 CEST and 08:04 CEST, respectively. There is no further update on the estimated reentry window as we are now roughly in the centre, corresponding to the red dot labeled COIW (centre of impact window) in the ground track track chart below.
Edit3: Now ESA says it hasn't seen it the next time over Europe, so it must have fallen already. Nobody seems to know where. Some forecast went back to earlier predictions of the sea south of Australia, SE from Esperance.
Edit4: Russia (Roscosmos) says it fell in the Indian ocean, west of Jakarta.