but that makes me wonder what's different about FL than other places, e.g. ND which has had very few restrictions until recently (they just implemented a mask mandate), but has very awful numbers. the real question is would you be willing to move to FL in order to experience the freedom they have, despite the risk that entails?
Great graph. That is a strong argument against my position that containment is not working to stem the infection rate.
So far I have made the following claims:
1) Shutting down economies doesn't matter as the infection rate is the same in those areas that aren't shutdown and those that are.
2) The chinese virus is of no threat based on current death numbers. CDC numbers show absolutely no spike in deaths this year relative to others as posted earlier.
3) Survival rate makes this virus as trivial as the flu. 70+ olds have a %96.x+ survival rate and 69- olds have a %99.6 (did i get the decimal right?) rate of survival.
4) And we don't even have a good idea of how many people actually died from the chinese virus. We have a large number of reports of number of chinese virus deaths being labled as chinese virus in 100% of co-morbidity cases, we have reports of non chinese virus related deats being labled as covid and then we have the special uk way of counting chinese virus deaths where if they know you had the chinese virus and you die within a certian period of time they just mark you as chinese virus related death.
So, with respect to #1 I concede that the signal is stronger for your argument than mine based on that graph. That makes sense epidiomologically. I would like to see graphs of flu rate infections on a year by year basis per state and see the comparison.
... however ...
With respect to #1, Sweden is exactly in the middle for the same stats:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1110187/coronavirus-incidence-europe-by-country. So is the UK and while they acted late they did act way ahead of anything happening in Sweden. So there is that, not sure what to make of it. There are also the anomalies of Japan and Korea. Korea apparently closed down everything while Japan was basically open up until recently ... maybe their cultures are so similar that people simply stayed home and complied?
With respect to #2, I posted the CDC numbers. There is no seeming bump in deaths overall, the video posted that there is a death overage but that doesn't really make any sense as the number of deaths as a whole is on par with previous years. Maybe in the UK but not in the USA.
With respect to #3, the reality is this isn't aids or ebola. We thought it was in February. That survival rate makes this entire conversation a joke.
With respect to #4, that is more speculative. I had some links on this but I can't find them. I would be happy to ignore this claim except that I cannot explain how the CDC says the same number of people are dying this year as last year. If the chinese virus is killing everyone with or without co-morbidities, where are the dead bodies? The hospitals are empty, there are no bodies piling up in morgues.
With respect to #1 again, looking at Australia, they seem to have a similar distribution to the one in USA:
https://www.statista.com/statistics...avirus-cases-per-100-000-population-by-state/
They have one outlier, one in the middle and a bunch below average (or is it mean?). And if you look at the infection rates, USA has 14 states below 20 / 100 000 infection rate which is a whole lot more populatuion AUs Northern Territory.
So, what problem is being solved here?