Arkay Firestar
Very Active Member
- Joined
- Apr 28, 2010
- Messages
- 245
WizardStan said:Even though the last 12 months has seen a fairly steady increase in the cost of flash media?Arkay Firestar said:It is a FACT that 32GB will drop in price, possibly becoming the same cost as 16GB is now, in the next 6-12 months.
Most folks seem confident of it, yes. There may be continued supply issues, but the general thought is that SSD will have it's biggest growth in 2010-2011, increasing demand and in turn supply for NAND memory. Also, improved MLC flash manufacturing processes (Multi-level cell, basically a less stable consumer-grade flash) is supposed to reduce costs as well. Of course, they could fix the prices like they were punished for doing with DRAM, and it's a volatile market, so anything COULD happen, but still, most do not expect the increases will continue.
http://www.engadget.com/2010/04/19/samsung-first-with-20-nm-nand-flash-cheaper-faster-sd-cards-on/
http://www.zdnetasia.com/memory-price-hikes-fail-to-dampen-ssd-growth-62056396.htm
"The analyst added that from a longer-term perspective, the average selling price of NAND flash is expected to decline at a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 46 percent through to 2013. During the same forecast period, IDC also expects SSD shipments to achieve a CAGR of 55 percent, and SSD revenues to register a CAGR of 49 percent.
Similarly, iSuppli's estimates show that prices of 16GB-density MLC NAND flash will drop steadily from Q2, 2009's US$4.10 to US$2.20, by the fourth quarter of 2010."
Last edited by a moderator: